Tie to win Scotland vs Curacao
Tie is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Scotland vs Curacao Winner.
Price history
17¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If Tie wins the Scotland vs Curacao professional Intl Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Scotland 81¢
Range
4¢-81¢
Family volume
$863
Identifier
KXINTLFRIENDLYGAME-26MAY30SCOCUW-TIE
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$1
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Scotland vs Curacao Winner
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Family volume
$863
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie wins the Scotland vs Curacao professional Intl Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Identifier
KXINTLFRIENDLYGAME-26MAY30SCOCUW-TIE
Event family
Scotland vs Curacao Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$863
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Scotland 81¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.