Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027 is priced at 65¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 58¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
65¢ current
+15¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$34K
Identifier
0x5d6b15ab...4208
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
58¢
Ask
72¢
Spread
14¢
24h volume
$55
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$34K
Orderbook snapshot
58 / 72¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x5d6b15ab…4208
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 19¢, +46¢ versus this page.
Event family
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$34K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027 65¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
Read 65% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.