Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage is priced at 2¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
2¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant before she announces that she is married to Travis Kelce. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy or marriage announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. If Taylor Swift does not announce that she is pregnant or married to Travis Kelce by August 31, 2026 ET, or their engagement is otherwise broken off, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be used.
Outcome
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$227K
Identifier
0xfcde7eec...a6ea
Jun 5, 2026, 10:46 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Family volume
$227K
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant before she announces that she is married to Travis Kelce. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy or marriage announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. If Taylor Swift does not announce that she is pregnant or married to Travis Kelce by August 31, 2026 ET, or their engagement is otherwise broken off, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Identifier
0xfcde7eec…a6ea
Event family
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$227K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage 2¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
cultural
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.