Will Maria Brewer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee
Will Maria Brewer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee is priced at 14¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 7¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
14¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Tennessee. If no 2026 Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Outcome
Will Maria Brewer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
0x643a958d...018d
Jun 19, 2026, 9:59 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
11¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Aug 6, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Tennessee. If no 2026 Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Aug 6, 2026
Identifier
0x643a958d…018d
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Maria Brewer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee 14¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.