SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 6, 202694 days left

Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?

This contract is priced at 73¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 70¢ bid, 75¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

73¢
$4K volume
$11K liquidity
41% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$9K

Best sibling

Diana Onyeijaka 14¢

Ticker

0x253a4a01…35ba

Price history

73¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

70 / 75¢

Polymarket
5¢ spread
BidSize
70¢60
69¢150
68¢60
67¢154
65¢10
52¢100
42¢214
39¢308
AskSize
75¢110
76¢353
79¢50
80¢602
82¢100
85¢6
86¢450
90¢5

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Tennessee. If no 2026 Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 6, 2026

Identifier

0x253a4a01…35ba

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

143.1%

IY (No)

1045.7%

Adj IY

1046%

CRI

3

RV

224%

VR

1.85

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

143.1%
1045.7%
Adj IY
1046%
3
RV
224%
VR
1.85
IAR
2.5/h
Overround
0.1%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Your First Prediction Market Trade: End-to-End CLI Walkthrough

Step-by-step CLI tutorial for your first prediction market trade. Install, scan, create a thesis, find edges, check liquidity, place an order, and monitor — all from the command line.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index