SimpleFunctions

Tigre vs Alianza Atletico Winner

Tigre vs Alianza Atletico Winner is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

8¢ current

+3¢
5¢10¢
May 26, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Alianza Atletico wins the Tigre vs Alianza Atletico professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tigre vs Alianza Atletico Winner

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$9K

Identifier

KXCONMEBOLSUDGAME-26MAY28TIGAAT-AAT

May 28, 2026, 6:47 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

8¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:47 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$9K

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$9K

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 8¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
7¢2.0K
6¢6.9K
5¢6.0K
4¢7.0K
3¢983
AskSize
8¢7.4K
9¢25K
10¢5.3K
11¢3.0K
13¢950

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Alianza Atletico wins the Tigre vs Alianza Atletico professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXCONMEBOLSUDGAME-26MAY28TIGAAT-AAT

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$9K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Tigre vs Alianza Atletico Winner 8¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.