Tie · Toluca vs Tigres Winner?: T
Tie is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Toluca vs Tigres Winner?: T.
Price history
35¢ current
+24¢Contract brief
If Tie wins the Toluca vs Tigres professional CONCACAF Champions Cup soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Toluca 48¢
Range
21¢-48¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXCONCACAFCCUPGAME-26MAY30TOLTIG-TIE
May 25, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
21¢
Ask
35¢
Spread
14¢
24h volume
$14
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · Toluca vs Tigres Winner?: T
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
21 / 35¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie wins the Toluca vs Tigres professional CONCACAF Champions Cup soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
Identifier
KXCONCACAFCCUPGAME-26MAY30TOLTIG-TIE
Event family
Toluca vs Tigres Winner?: T.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Toluca 48¢
Current share
1%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
Read 35% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.