SimpleFunctions

Top Artist on Weekly Top Artists USA on May 28, 2026

Drake is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 95¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Top Artist on Weekly Top Artists USA on May 28, 2026.

Price history

99¢ current

+12¢
75¢100¢
May 23, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Drake is #1 on the Weekly Top Artists USA chart on the chart dated May 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Drake

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

Drake 95¢

Range

5¢-95¢

Family volume

$110

Identifier

KXSPOTIFYARTISTW-26MAY28-DRA

May 28, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

99¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

95¢

Ask

100¢

Spread

24h volume

$110

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Top Artist on Weekly Top Artists USA on May 28, 2026

Closes

May 29, 2026

Family volume

$110

Orderbook snapshot

95 / 100¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
95¢10
94¢100
93¢500
60¢25
3¢47
AskSize

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Drake is #1 on the Weekly Top Artists USA chart on the chart dated May 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 29, 2026

Identifier

KXSPOTIFYARTISTW-26MAY28-DRA

SF Signal
SF Index
100000.00
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at .

View counterpart

Event family

Top Artist on Weekly Top Artists USA on May 28, 2026.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$110

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Drake 95¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

16

VR

0.84

IAR

0.3/h

Overround

0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

16
VR
0.84
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.