SimpleFunctions

Top Global Song on Spotify on May 28, 2026

Beauty And A Beat is priced at 69¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Top Global Song on Spotify on May 28, 2026.

Price history

69¢ current

+16¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Beauty And A Beat is #1 on the Daily Top Songs Global chart on the chart dated May 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Beauty And A Beat

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

Beauty And A Beat 65¢

Range

5¢-65¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXSPOTIFYGLOBALD-26MAY28-BEA

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

69¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

61¢

Ask

71¢

Spread

10¢

24h volume

$220

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Top Global Song on Spotify on May 28, 2026

Closes

May 29, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

61 / 71¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
61¢203
55¢20
54¢20
47¢10
45¢20
AskSize
71¢200
88¢81
91¢300
96¢1
97¢251

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Beauty And A Beat is #1 on the Daily Top Songs Global chart on the chart dated May 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 29, 2026

Identifier

KXSPOTIFYGLOBALD-26MAY28-BEA

SF Signal
SF Index
100000.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

Top Global Song on Spotify on May 28, 2026.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Beauty And A Beat 65¢

Current share

18%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

VR

0.55

IAR

0.7/h

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
VR
0.55
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.