Kendrick Lamar · Top Spotify artist in May
Kendrick Lamar is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 14 inside Top Spotify artist in May?.
Price history
0¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on May 31, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
Outcome
Kendrick Lamar
Rank
#4 of 14
Leader
Bruno Mars 55¢
Range
0¢-55¢
Family volume
$108K
Identifier
0x1bff3168...d270
May 28, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#4 of 14
14 outcomes · Top Spotify artist in May?
Closes
—
Family volume
$108K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on May 31, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
—
Identifier
0x1bff3168…d270
Event family
Top Spotify artist in May.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$108K
Outcomes
14
Highest price
Bruno Mars 55¢
Current share
1%
Bruno Mars
polymarket · 0x8533c74f835e8f92bec54e14127040ef1ba6b2bf8dbae7f41d3b45147dc6f051
Justin Bieber
polymarket · 0x5e2d6bf9012c6c6131362d477153f4061b8904b439e6ac1191b09e07b0f90af7
Drake
polymarket · 0xabf156741411337b95b9fffb22081171fdb5092d6f90576d79f253464350abcf
Bad Bunny
polymarket · 0xd3e052699fd170a527d866386d734662fa85b41ca801aeda264164165ab991ec
The Weeknd
polymarket · 0xafc71dcd8225b2646ba34e2c4e9755bf170d114508b8ea89c16773ec53eb301f
Kanye West
polymarket · 0xd137ba118e8706d82438634a349fe30d17b792523c6f24f1b178b54583817860
Kendrick Lamar
polymarket · 0x1bff3168662b3f94ccd66d9119d3747eae6686e3ce78772f84d14b6bc2e9d270
Taylor Swift
polymarket · 0x5540ef1c8f9a26541cebeb67511e20bb667f4669740e96da95fe4713f3fb830d
Billie Eilish
polymarket · 0x893093a2190f5961c1db742baffef3dccd2b80c78cda8067c45a82ea0d5f1147
Lady Gaga
polymarket · 0x2d0ebd1188dcbad4d522c6b400b1fd2a7cc69bef4cc310ca28a6ebc05847c65b
Rihanna
polymarket · 0x5c8da1003222390b77b7c3f18bb014c2169d256dfef1a49ff74023776ba272c7
Coldplay
polymarket · 0xb9c1ef135226766c4e964c63c11f599c78db09b20bb6d13f2a77baed83a428ae
Ed Sheeran
polymarket · 0x1d83ff22585fb870df18be331276009f32f1601205c94f4b9292c530b7125a3d
Noah Kahan
polymarket · 0xe495733e51bd61bceebf733677face01b103b7909c638d79b6970c6aa813a966
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Yield Curve (Prediction Markets)
A prediction-market yield curve plots implied yield against τ-days across all sibling contracts in an event family. Borrowed from bond desks, enabled by cycle clustering.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 0% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.