Tucker Carlson federally charged
Tucker Carlson federally charged is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
3¢ current
−45¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Tucker Carlson between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Outcome
Tucker Carlson federally charged
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$59K
Identifier
0x9ecb0995...a599
May 26, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$922
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$59K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 3¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Tucker Carlson between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x9ecb0995…a599
Event family
Tucker Carlson federally charged.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$59K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Tucker Carlson federally charged 3¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.