Tie to win US Montalbanaise vs Stade Rochelais
Tie is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside US Montalbanaise vs Stade Rochelais Winner.
Price history
1¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If tie is the result in the US Montalbanaise vs Stade Rochelais professional France Top 14 match originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Stade Rochelais 95¢
Range
1¢-95¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXRUGBYFRA14MATCH-26MAY30USMSRO-TIE
May 28, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
11¢
24h volume
$210
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · US Montalbanaise vs Stade Rochelais Winner
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If tie is the result in the US Montalbanaise vs Stade Rochelais professional France Top 14 match originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Identifier
KXRUGBYFRA14MATCH-26MAY30USMSRO-TIE
Event family
US Montalbanaise vs Stade Rochelais Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Stade Rochelais 95¢
Current share
14%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.