SimpleFunctions

Will Rickie Fowler finish top 20 for U.S. Open

Rickie Fowler is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 29¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXPGATOP20-USO26.

Price history

39¢ current

35¢40¢
May 26, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Rickie Fowler finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Rickie Fowler

Rank

#14 of 16

Leader

Graeme McDowell 85¢

Range

1¢-85¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXPGATOP20-USO26-RFOW

May 26, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 12m ago

Implied probability

39¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 12m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

39¢

Spread

29¢

Reported volume

$100

Family rank

#14 of 16

16 outcomes · KXPGATOP20-USO26

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 39¢

Kalshi
29¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.1K
10¢1.0K
AskSize
39¢2.9K
40¢4.5K
41¢6.8K
42¢12
84¢3.8K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Rickie Fowler finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP20-USO26-RFOW

SF Signal
SF Index
0.00
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6102.8%

IY (No)

75.3%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

9

Overround

17.6%

LAS

2.90

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

6102.8%
75.3%
Adj IY
0%
9
Overround
17.6%
LAS
2.90

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.