Tie to win USA vs Senegal
Tie is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside USA vs Senegal Winner.
Price history
29¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
If Tie wins the USA vs Senegal professional Intl Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
USA 41¢
Range
27¢-41¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXINTLFRIENDLYGAME-26MAY31USASEN-TIE
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
27¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$49
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · USA vs Senegal Winner
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
27 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie wins the USA vs Senegal professional Intl Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
Identifier
KXINTLFRIENDLYGAME-26MAY31USASEN-TIE
Event family
USA vs Senegal Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
USA 41¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.