$X · What will SpaceX's public ticker be
$X is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 9 inside What will SpaceX's public ticker be?.
Price history
1¢ current
−23¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market. If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS). If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order. If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Outcome
$X
Rank
#2 of 9
Leader
Other (incl $SPCX) 97¢
Range
0¢-97¢
Family volume
$6.6M
Identifier
0xb2f7dc94...dcef
May 26, 2026, 11:50 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 9
9 outcomes · What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Family volume
$6.6M
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market. If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS). If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order. If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Identifier
0xb2f7dc94…dcef
Event family
What will SpaceX's public ticker be.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6.6M
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Other (incl $SPCX) 97¢
Current share
11%
Other (incl $SPCX)
polymarket · 0x913d94d8140c5f34a36298c2d2855c157f03b47884f780fe4a6f40c42fecd760
$SEX
polymarket · 0xafb67293d7e12d87cf4ba22e4eb89f1eea353b11c6febaf6b9832213c4529367
$X
polymarket · 0xb2f7dc9439fde732c0586302b1be0d46bc41a917e5338b8924b3557be944dcef
$STAR
polymarket · 0x0d8880457a80d5216bc5359f7de1e99a83adff0f0e39616cfa57dec28033a077
$SPACE
polymarket · 0xfe6827bd1917f702f1858bec56fc431753cce59b92e93cdba8a60fd1730d5b02
$SPC
polymarket · 0x95ec4d4bd3a7eef1232d4c2fbcd95d8fbe77a16d382615941fcdd9e30e3b7e3f
$SPAX
polymarket · 0x2a263488a101c6f260b31e821685516e776b9b5b3403e883c4ba235b2bf79146
$SX
polymarket · 0x243e72a3dd07604c0e27d14fda13e2ad5248b201379c56deb5c4655984d7385f
$MARS
polymarket · 0xfad080aab1cc1549d2dcefc782461969e89a63329a643506ee85ae9682140dca
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.