SimpleFunctions

When will Scottie Scheffler have his next win

Genesis Scottish Open is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 47¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 9 inside When will Scottie Scheffler have his next win.

Price history

1¢ current

1¢
0¢25¢
May 19, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Scottie Scheffler's next PGA-sanctioned tournament win is the Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Genesis Scottish Open

Rank

#4 of 9

Leader

Memorial Tournament 28¢

Range

1¢-28¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXGOLFNEXTWIN-SSCH-GSCO26

May 25, 2026, 5:30 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 5:30 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

49¢

Spread

47¢

Reported volume

$59

Family rank

#4 of 9

9 outcomes · When will Scottie Scheffler have his next win

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 49¢

Kalshi
47¢ spread
BidSize
100¢537
2¢10
AskSize
49¢23
50¢1.0K
69¢48
70¢3.4K
71¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Scottie Scheffler's next PGA-sanctioned tournament win is the Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXGOLFNEXTWIN-SSCH-GSCO26

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.