Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next
Real Madrid is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 96¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 5 inside Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next.
Price history
3¢ current
Contract brief
If Cristiano Ronaldo's next club is Real Madrid before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Real Madrid
Rank
#5 of 5
Leader
Al Nassr 65¢
Range
3¢-65¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02CRONALDO-RMA
May 26, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
96¢
Reported volume
$226
Family rank
#5 of 5
5 outcomes · Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 96¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Cristiano Ronaldo's next club is Real Madrid before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02CRONALDO-RMA
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 20¢, -17¢ versus this page.
Event family
Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Al Nassr 65¢
Current share
—
Al Nassr
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02CRONALDO-ALN
Inter Miami FC
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02CRONALDO-MIA
Sporting CP
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02CRONALDO-SPO
Chelsea
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02CRONALDO-CFC
Real Madrid
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02CRONALDO-RMA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.