SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

Will Big Tobacco buy Alp nicotine pouches?

This contract is priced at 42¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 77¢ spread.

Implied probability

42¢
$0 volume
$13 liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$156

Best sibling

Juice Head 43¢

Ticker

0x50a5923d…10e6

Market snapshot

Alp in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Big Tobacco buy Alp nicotine pouches?. The displayed quote is 42¢ from the latest venue quote. In the Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Alp

Family rank

#2 of 5

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

42¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

Reported volume

Family context

5 outcomes · Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?

Quote range

42¢-43¢

Family leader

Juice Head 43¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: 0x50a5923d8edd185e97eb33ce0f2fc7f15d73dca99179ecf3feba7d0dcdce10e6. Family volume: $156.

Price history

42¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 80¢

Polymarket
77¢ spread
BidSize
100¢120
3¢25
2¢24
AskSize
80¢10
84¢6
88¢8
89¢6
92¢13
95¢10
96¢25
98¢57

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed nicotine pouch brand is bought or otherwise acquired by Big Tobacco between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Big Tobacco" is defined as any of the following corporations: Philip Morris International, British American Tobacco, Japan Tobacco International, Imperial Brands, Altria, or China Tobacco. Any change of name of these companies will not affect the resolution of this market provided they remain major names in the tobacco industry. Any change in the name of the listed nicotine pouch brand will similarly not affect the resolution of this market. Any acquisition which gives Big Tobacco ownership of the rights to the nicotine pouch product will qualify even if Big Tobacco does not acquire the entire company, whether through a merger, asset purchase, or stock purchase. This market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x50a5923d…10e6

Event family

Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$156

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Juice Head 43¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

213.9%

IY (No)

112.2%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

1

Overround

1.1%

LAS

1.83

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

213.9%
112.2%
Adj IY
0%
1
Overround
1.1%
LAS
1.83

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