Other · Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup
Other is priced at 2¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?.
Price history
2¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Outcome
Other
Rank
#2 of 5
Leader
No Replacement 93¢
Range
0¢-93¢
Family volume
$49K
Identifier
0xce74e746...040d
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 48m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$685
Family rank
#2 of 5
5 outcomes · Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Family volume
$49K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Identifier
0xce74e746…040d
Event family
Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$49K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
No Replacement 93¢
Current share
8%
No Replacement
polymarket · 0x0e77b1ad3dc69c6fcdf5d68f2bf0871453684237f5509d3eb7bbba23a8e990a7
UAE
polymarket · 0x5b3622a357683cac6e331f6777a1b4954c73ef4f6cd870af751cd86985592893
Other
polymarket · 0xce74e7469281bf9ecbd73d2798a445117e199dda9269b6d47e43628462e4040d
Italy
polymarket · 0x69d02de291243190dc83c79bf52d38b3bd62d96c04646918d3faa24059b450fa
Bolivia
polymarket · 0xd57732b457f10aaa8fb07b15da41c50ded7abb0d0080e5f74c47e171090086bf
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.