Bill Clinton · Who will be arrested before 2027
Bill Clinton is priced at 4¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside Who will be arrested before 2027?.
Price history
4¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Bill Clinton
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
John Brennan 48¢
Range
4¢-48¢
Family volume
$115K
Identifier
0x19d90e57...1ffa
Jun 7, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$332
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · Who will be arrested before 2027?
Closes
—
Family volume
$115K
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
—
Identifier
0x19d90e57…1ffa
Event family
Who will be arrested before 2027.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$115K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
John Brennan 48¢
Current share
0%
John Brennan
polymarket · 0x087d55571a3847d92cab41c9aa6e05d6111dcbf2b95559627d3cf88fc53d22fe
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
polymarket · 0x293a15dc69de092ea5f669af2a0207d7b9dbf32b8e53eae53cdea7785d915747
Letitia James
polymarket · 0x1b5f6d557381c9d5e5c8b9cb3aff3396c721fe6fc65c647e9d859adaa15747ce
Mahmoud Khalil
polymarket · 0x6f79a739c0694af2f9047acc2d88311911ff7def34a03b5dcc9e9e816e9e2e29
James Clapper
polymarket · 0x44cd8b15befa5d0ce8e20dcefc25b91bf44907d6f83d148c7b600336d990085b
Tom Homan
polymarket · 0xbe555c50fc49ae7f1a970fbe13f226d179c192d87daa71c7ca082464b71fb8f6
Brandon Johnson
polymarket · 0x950ae84dd0900bc6995ff8463c5ce8a373b7b2d8b5831b0f70896c324a97bd07
Anthony Fauci
polymarket · 0x1a975c8210f5aa11c76d645a4dd746764799310898445689b17fb500a8925c80
Hillary Clinton
polymarket · 0x862c6d9cb806315fe626d37e8b9f21585710a98ada2fb9338061574fb9a5f453
Adam Schiff
polymarket · 0xa996ddae9ea35ff0c110e5cc04f116714ec5d4013119088f347b27920017e590
Gavin Newsom
polymarket · 0x30f0732734e61902d81cf2d3e37e531de8883b6a2c4cabd8ba3e4035977de1ed
James Comey
polymarket · 0x408877da98dbe7b36a8efdc3075057e2ae600e71f39ea96c4ff019c26eb3e05a
Pam Bondi
polymarket · 0xcecf072e20347bb9bc5325b0bf23111add4d3700513d847bb6169d795a037ad0
Barack Obama
polymarket · 0xf0f06f10ca905fa971609b18ea337047068e80e8fed592886edf1716a71fe389
Joe Biden
polymarket · 0x80689a62869f77d8bc45b306e781a026cf40280863da66e205799ed01f142868
Bill Clinton
polymarket · 0x19d90e579cbc01149eb72ddc05fe412f7afbe16abc6d599456a7232fde511ffa
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SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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