Mark Rutte · Who will Trump speak to in May
Mark Rutte is priced at 26¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 12¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 28¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 13 inside Who will Trump speak to in May?.
Price history
26¢ current
−24¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Outcome
Mark Rutte
Rank
#1 of 13
Leader
Mark Rutte 26¢
Range
0¢-26¢
Family volume
$259K
Identifier
0x919837ed...26bd
May 28, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
28¢
24h volume
$8
Family rank
#1 of 13
13 outcomes · Who will Trump speak to in May?
Closes
May 31, 2026
Family volume
$259K
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 40¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
0x919837ed…26bd
Event family
Who will Trump speak to in May.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$259K
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Mark Rutte 26¢
Current share
3%
Mark Rutte
polymarket · 0x919837ed70b64f690f41676749ed4a2463922530c1cec6776c18c340224c26bd
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
polymarket · 0x2a70026364d7f55c182b29a6b20055abb2bb649810d789ea293a89113ca34b6c
Vladimir Putin
polymarket · 0x1cd819601b9024130c08feb7a71dccb9422b3cbdb0923bb366b4c38f392a5b3a
Keir Starmer
polymarket · 0xb9f5d213244c79397c9cd1c1eade276466cc0f10c753beb1e55ae466c6155fb6
Mark Carney
polymarket · 0x2c39f9b8cce4ea1bb05bce80fc4638e7226cdb37d23fb21bcb08b27e69eef7aa
Masoud Pezeshkian
polymarket · 0x9a6de39e492db361596e7245f988e120d6c22d3f29ad5fbc569343d0eba5edb7
Maria Corina Machado
polymarket · 0xf79ddd64054cc8532f32ec64728659469647245e12732ec66e3521fbec4754ca
Ahmed al-Sharaa
polymarket · 0xa3a7353920725475f42d193fa0563b54778aa10aa607419248bc87db896a101a
Pope Leo XIV
polymarket · 0x6eb4cfeaa0aca80a39b90584b8b52e9ca3ed8019c2a03f01b9182a029d13d2fc
Reza Pahlavi
polymarket · 0xfd257d6247eb24d313d9b921a118c1754d03b3444f32a70334a28ef28d3e96b5
Kim Jong Un
polymarket · 0x8d6153cc32653d0a058166a8500384f096ad07eb7c9b8265d1a7c126fb3db6b2
Nicolás Maduro
polymarket · 0xf02bee2a68c616dbb62575bff2c07ef45710f2d523e482d6cb9f36a2d0deb76c
Yoon Suk Yeol
polymarket · 0x55e189e455951a21e4d7dc5faeed09050b1f427debfb03ae75e68626a5433574
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
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