Adrian Otaegui · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26
Adrian Otaegui is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If Adrian Otaegui wins the Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Adrian Otaegui
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Yanhan Zhou 9¢
Range
1¢-9¢
Family volume
$88K
Identifier
KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-AOTA
May 28, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$701
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
Family volume
$88K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Adrian Otaegui wins the Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
Identifier
KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-AOTA
Event family
KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$88K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Yanhan Zhou 9¢
Current share
1%
Yanhan Zhou
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-YZHO
Sepp Straka
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-SSTR
Bernd Wiesberger
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-BWIE
Yurav Premlall
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-YPRE
Darius Van Driel
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-DVAN
Kazuma Kobori
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-KKOB
MJ Daffue
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-MDAF
Oliver Lindell
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-OLIN
Guido Migliozzi
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-GMIG
Alexander Levy
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-ALEV
Marcus Kinhult
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-MKIN
Marcel Schneider
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-MASC
Davis Bryant
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-DBRY
Albin Bergstrom
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-ABER
Ricardo Gouveia
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-RGOU
Adrian Otaegui
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-AUAOPBKT26-AOTA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.