Alabama · KXNCAABBREG-26TUSC
Alabama is priced at 61¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 61¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXNCAABBREG-26TUSC.
Price history
61¢ current
+21¢Contract brief
If Alabama is the 2026 College Baseball Tuscaloosa Regional champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Alabama
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Alabama 59¢
Range
3¢-59¢
Family volume
$146
Identifier
KXNCAABBREG-26TUSC-ACT
May 27, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
60¢
Ask
61¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$91
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · KXNCAABBREG-26TUSC
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Family volume
$146
Orderbook snapshot
60 / 61¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alabama is the 2026 College Baseball Tuscaloosa Regional champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAABBREG-26TUSC-ACT
Event family
KXNCAABBREG-26TUSC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$146
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Alabama 59¢
Current share
62%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 61% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.