Alex Palou · KXINDYCARRACE-PRIX26
Alex Palou is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 21¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside KXINDYCARRACE-PRIX26.
Price history
29¢ current
Contract brief
If Alex Palou finishes in first in the Main Event at the 2026 Detroit Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Alex Palou
Rank
#1 of 5
Leader
Alex Palou 6¢
Range
2¢-6¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXINDYCARRACE-PRIX26-ALPA
May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
27¢
Spread
21¢
24h volume
$85
Family rank
#1 of 5
5 outcomes · KXINDYCARRACE-PRIX26
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 27¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alex Palou finishes in first in the Main Event at the 2026 Detroit Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
Identifier
KXINDYCARRACE-PRIX26-ALPA
Event family
KXINDYCARRACE-PRIX26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Alex Palou 6¢
Current share
8%
Alex Palou
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-PRIX26-ALPA
Scott Dixon
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-PRIX26-SCDI
Josef Newgarden
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-PRIX26-JONE
Will Power
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-PRIX26-WIPO
Kyle Kirkwood
kalshi · KXINDYCARRACE-PRIX26-KYKI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 29% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.