SimpleFunctions

All Employees, Temporary Help Services for May 2026 above 2.490 millionㅤ

Above 2.490ㅤ million is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 87¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for May 2026 be above 2.4.

Price history

90¢ current

+88¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 12, 2026May 23, 2026

Contract brief

If All Employees, Temporary Help Services for May 2026 is above 2.490ㅤ million, according to FRED series TEMPHELPS, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 2.490ㅤ million

Rank

#2 of 5

Leader

Above 2.475ㅤ million 4¢

Range

1¢-4¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXTEMPHELP-26JUN05-T2.490

May 24, 2026, 11:02 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

90¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 11:02 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

89¢

Spread

87¢

Reported volume

$367

Family rank

#2 of 5

5 outcomes · Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for May 2026 be above 2.4

Closes

Jun 5, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 89¢

Kalshi
87¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
2¢2
AskSize
89¢263
95¢34
96¢53
98¢505
99¢148

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If All Employees, Temporary Help Services for May 2026 is above 2.490ㅤ million, according to FRED series TEMPHELPS, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 5, 2026

Identifier

KXTEMPHELP-26JUN05-T2.490

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for May 2026 be above 2.4.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Above 2.475ㅤ million 4¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

data_release

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.