SimpleFunctions

3+ cycles · Will all hitters combined record

3+ cycles is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Will all hitters combined record.

Price history

39¢ current

+2¢
0¢25¢
May 8, 2026Jun 3, 2026

Contract brief

If all hitters combined record 3+ cycles across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball season (regular season and playoffs), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

3+ cycles

Rank

#3 of 7

Leader

1+ cycles 82¢

Range

2¢-82¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXMLBSTATCOUNT-26CYCLE-AH-3

Jun 4, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

39¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 4, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

36¢

Ask

43¢

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#3 of 7

7 outcomes · Will all hitters combined record

Closes

Dec 3, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

36 / 43¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢250
36¢5
35¢150
7¢46
6¢324
AskSize
43¢150
92¢589
93¢43
95¢100
98¢15

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If all hitters combined record 3+ cycles across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball season (regular season and playoffs), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSTATCOUNT-26CYCLE-AH-3

SF Signal
SF Index
178.23
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

356.5%

IY (No)

112.8%

Adj IY

178%

CRI

2

Overround

1.3%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

356.5%
112.8%
Adj IY
178%
2
Overround
1.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.