Altria Group Inc. report Above 15.5 billion cigarette shipments in Q2 2026
Above 15.5 billion is priced at 16¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 5 inside Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 1.
Price history
16¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If Altria Group Inc. reports Above 15500000000.0 cigarette shipments in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 15.5 billion
Rank
#5 of 5
Leader
Above 13.5 billion 95¢
Range
15¢-95¢
Family volume
$108
Identifier
KXMO-26JULCIGSHIP-15500000000.0
May 28, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#5 of 5
5 outcomes · Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 1
Closes
Aug 28, 2026
Family volume
$108
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Altria Group Inc. reports Above 15500000000.0 cigarette shipments in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 28, 2026
Identifier
KXMO-26JULCIGSHIP-15500000000.0
Event family
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$108
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Above 13.5 billion 95¢
Current share
0%
Above 13.5 billion
kalshi · KXMO-26JULCIGSHIP-13500000000.0
Above 14 billion
kalshi · KXMO-26JULCIGSHIP-14000000000.0
Above 14.5 billion
kalshi · KXMO-26JULCIGSHIP-14500000000.0
Above 15 billion
kalshi · KXMO-26JULCIGSHIP-15000000000.0
Above 15.5 billion
kalshi · KXMO-26JULCIGSHIP-15500000000.0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.