Belinda Bencic to win the Stearns vs Bencic
Belinda Bencic is priced at 72¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 72¢ bid, 73¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXWTAMATCH-26MAY29STEBEN.
Price history
72¢ current
+25¢Contract brief
If Belinda Bencic wins the Stearns vs Bencic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Belinda Bencic
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Belinda Bencic 72¢
Range
29¢-72¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KXWTAMATCH-26MAY29STEBEN-BEN
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
72¢
Ask
73¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXWTAMATCH-26MAY29STEBEN
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
72 / 73¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Belinda Bencic wins the Stearns vs Bencic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Identifier
KXWTAMATCH-26MAY29STEBEN-BEN
Event family
KXWTAMATCH-26MAY29STEBEN.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Belinda Bencic 72¢
Current share
83%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.