SimpleFunctions

Above 7.75B · Will Beyoncé have

Above 7.75B is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside Will Beyoncé have.

Price history

21¢ current

+18¢
0¢10¢20¢
May 14, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Beyoncé has Above 7.75B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 7.75B

Rank

#13 of 16

Leader

Above 3.7B 98¢

Range

4¢-98¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEY26DEC31-7.75B

May 27, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

21¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

Ask

19¢

Spread

10¢

24h volume

$5

Family rank

#13 of 16

16 outcomes · Will Beyoncé have

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

9 / 19¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.6K
9¢500
3¢205
AskSize
19¢500
29¢5
76¢126
78¢1.3K
79¢9

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Beyoncé has Above 7.75B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEY26DEC31-7.75B

SF Signal
SF Index
839.50
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1679.0%

IY (No)

16.4%

Adj IY

840%

CRI

10

Overround

16.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1679.0%
16.4%
Adj IY
840%
10
Overround
16.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.