SimpleFunctions

Above 57.5M · Will BLOND:ISH have

Above 57.5M is priced at 55¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 63¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside Will BLOND:ISH have.

Price history

55¢ current

+39¢
25¢50¢
May 12, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If BLOND:ISH has Above 57.5M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 57.5M

Rank

#14 of 16

Leader

Above 25M 98¢

Range

35¢-98¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BLONDI26DEC31-57.5M

May 25, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

55¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

63¢

Ask

71¢

Spread

Reported volume

$142

Family rank

#14 of 16

16 outcomes · Will BLOND:ISH have

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

63 / 71¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
63¢255
62¢20
AskSize
71¢250
93¢84

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If BLOND:ISH has Above 57.5M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BLONDI26DEC31-57.5M

SF Signal
SF Index
121.91
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

96.3%

IY (No)

279.3%

Adj IY

122%

CRI

2

Overround

11.2%

LAS

0.13

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

96.3%
279.3%
Adj IY
122%
2
Overround
11.2%
LAS
0.13

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.