Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
This contract is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
10
Family volume
$1.3M
Best sibling
Bad Bunny 66¢
Ticker
0x29134729…6627
Market snapshot
Bruno Mars in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $386K. In the Top Spotify Artist 2026 family, this outcome ranks #4 of 10 by current quote across 10 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 12:17 PM UTC.
Outcome
Bruno Mars
Family rank
#4 of 10
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
1¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
Reported volume
$386K
Family context
10 outcomes · Top Spotify Artist 2026
Quote range
0¢-66¢
Family leader
Bad Bunny 66¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 12:17 PM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: 0x29134729ec74a0dbab6ddad9d9a745e4c0b83c59682bdc4b76412c9635d66627. Family volume: $1.3M.
Price history
1¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
1 / 2¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026. If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x29134729…6627
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at —.
Event family
Top Spotify Artist 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$1.3M
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Bad Bunny 66¢
Current share
30%
Bruno Mars
polymarket · 0x29134729ec74a0dbab6ddad9d9a745e4c0b83c59682bdc4b76412c9635d66627
Bad Bunny
polymarket · 0x938e6a0a011f9534ffd2d86c65dde3aeb7c66ad06cee29ead70b832179c3b6de
Beyoncé
polymarket · 0x3936de01f890af302ca75727b772fe6dffe915ce638a08809042a3a81dd346c0
The Weeknd
polymarket · 0x91ebc8bf88c5f99dd4550cb75255766f638d1932ede36e8eae78a76df0c15455
Kendrick Lamar
polymarket · 0xfdc642275936ee1281df776b1b8a67a35eefbf9095c1266fd178dfa6996ebb4f
Sabrina Carpenter
polymarket · 0xfc64306c19c1faab6dee0e3d3bf4b1ec35599692a11eec762a7f54d25bc268f2
Drake
polymarket · 0xa087422678cebf674c69d2c86a13b89d153951f067f753e0c2044eb991c0652f
Chappell Roan
polymarket · 0x1cbe7cbbfb481ed76c054bc4c36c6fb966a2d1671d908d0e89e1f22b0adfa1d6
Taylor Swift
polymarket · 0x0afa82ff8cb4dcf8c7a248ccaf438597619d3a6a4e4463adb109e1a1034d6e10
Morgan Wallen
polymarket · 0x021e7689a90ac39c268a39ddff6269fd0f41ed84ea6833f6e5b7d900569e6d8b
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 1% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.