Above 378M · Will Bruno Mars have 37
Above 378M is priced at 51¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 97¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside Will Bruno Mars have 37.
Price history
51¢ current
+49¢Contract brief
If Bruno Mars has above 378M Worldwide Streams during the May 22 - May 28, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 378M
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
Above 375M 60¢
Range
2¢-60¢
Family volume
$9
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMS-BMARS26MAY28-378.0M
May 28, 2026, 12:42 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
97¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Bruno Mars have 37
Closes
May 30, 2026
Family volume
$9
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bruno Mars has above 378M Worldwide Streams during the May 22 - May 28, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 30, 2026
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMS-BMARS26MAY28-378.0M
Event family
Will Bruno Mars have 37.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Above 375M 60¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.