Bubba Wallace · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26
Bubba Wallace is priced at 44¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 41¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26.
Price history
44¢ current
+28¢Contract brief
If Bubba Wallace finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cracker Barrel 400, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Bubba Wallace
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Bubba Wallace 41¢
Range
2¢-41¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-BUWA
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
41¢
Ask
44¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$2
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
41 / 44¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bubba Wallace finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cracker Barrel 400, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-BUWA
Event family
KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Bubba Wallace 41¢
Current share
0%
Bubba Wallace
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-BUWA
Ty Gibbs
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-TYGI
Austin Cindric
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-AUCI
William Byron
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-WIBY
Ross Chastain
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-ROCH
Brad Keselowski
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-BRKE
Erik Jones
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-ERJO
Joey Logano
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-JOLO
Zane Smith
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-ZASM
Noah Gragson
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-NOGR
Alex Bowman
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-ALBO
Daniel Suárez
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-DASU
Josh Berry
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-JOBE
Connor Zilisch
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-COZI
Shane Van Gisbergen
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-SHVA
Michael McDowell
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-CRAB26-MIMC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 44% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.