Canada · KXWCGSGOALS-26LEAST
Canada is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 9 inside KXWCGSGOALS-26LEAST.
Price history
11¢ current
Contract brief
If Canada records the fewest goals scored by any team in the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Canada
Rank
#8 of 9
Leader
Haiti 20¢
Range
4¢-20¢
Family volume
$389
Identifier
KXWCGSGOALS-26LEAST-CAN
Jun 7, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
11¢
24h volume
$128
Family rank
#8 of 9
9 outcomes · KXWCGSGOALS-26LEAST
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$389
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Canada records the fewest goals scored by any team in the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGSGOALS-26LEAST-CAN
Event family
KXWCGSGOALS-26LEAST.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$389
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Haiti 20¢
Current share
33%
Haiti
kalshi · KXWCGSGOALS-26LEAST-HTI
Jordan
kalshi · KXWCGSGOALS-26LEAST-JOR
Qatar
kalshi · KXWCGSGOALS-26LEAST-QAT
Curacao
kalshi · KXWCGSGOALS-26LEAST-CUW
New Zealand
kalshi · KXWCGSGOALS-26LEAST-NZL
Cape Verde
kalshi · KXWCGSGOALS-26LEAST-CPV
IR Iran
kalshi · KXWCGSGOALS-26LEAST-IRI
Canada
kalshi · KXWCGSGOALS-26LEAST-CAN
Argentina
kalshi · KXWCGSGOALS-26LEAST-ARG
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 11% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.