Above 50M · Will Carlita have
Above 50M is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside Will Carlita have.
Price history
45¢ current
+29¢Contract brief
If Carlita has Above 50M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 50M
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
Above 20M 99¢
Range
19¢-99¢
Family volume
$510
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-50.0M
May 27, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
37¢
Ask
45¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$9
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Carlita have
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Family volume
$510
Orderbook snapshot
37 / 45¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Carlita has Above 50M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-50.0M
Event family
Will Carlita have.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$510
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 20M 99¢
Current share
2%
Above 20M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-20.0M
Above 17.5M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-17.5M
Above 30M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-30.0M
Above 32.5M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-32.5M
Above 35M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-35.0M
Above 37.5M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-37.5M
Above 22.5M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-22.5M
Above 25M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-25.0M
Above 27.5M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-27.5M
Above 40M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-40.0M
Above 42.5M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-42.5M
Above 45M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-45.0M
Above 47.5M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-47.5M
Above 50M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-50.0M
Above 52.5M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-52.5M
Above 55M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CARLIT26DEC31-55.0M
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.