Carlos Rodón · MLB: ERA Leader
Carlos Rodón is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #16 of 16 inside MLB: ERA Leader.
Price history
0¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Carlos Rodón
Rank
#16 of 16
Leader
Shohei Ohtani 21¢
Range
0¢-21¢
Family volume
$8K
Identifier
0x578b2721...8dbb
May 28, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
Reported volume
$93
Family rank
#16 of 16
16 outcomes · MLB: ERA Leader
Closes
Sep 28, 2026
Family volume
$8K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Sep 28, 2026
Identifier
0x578b2721…8dbb
Event family
MLB: ERA Leader.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Shohei Ohtani 21¢
Current share
1%
Shohei Ohtani
polymarket · 0xf7c284a338a93a3427db8fcc649ad730a49bb3baf692aaf2022687213228835f
Cristopher Sánchez
polymarket · 0x8830e93d28757906355f6903be376ac6c75a389c4f332a5191422c9bb5848e59
Paul Skenes
polymarket · 0x8023abc486382321bcdd36e473b126bb0375d58a0e84525abb8599bbccf1050f
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
polymarket · 0xc07043348b650d6f68b0f6240c1d9365aa060d4ecba51b5e34d0b9e74af4b97b
Hunter Brown
polymarket · 0x0cf756e8de944bd10a2109dc9830f52947b7d5a6c16bb054e581c53443fe5f48
Tarik Skubal
polymarket · 0x3a6dbd7a7cca8a61ef0213852b423fea51f0bcf9462098ad5065f5e96ccfb8e7
José Soriano
polymarket · 0x2c64a2da880f2c49466ea5588f572fc92bc3f2f8902d8679e8dfd649495775f9
Garrett Crochet
polymarket · 0x71a642f70ecf85933f93554243fa6d33dd9ea26e8bcbe0194d71b5efc2cbc006
Andrew Abbott
polymarket · 0x9a8c599f59e668382ff18960cf26ed3310e381b659ace9a29c71101b83410994
Bryan Woo
polymarket · 0x933c6e11e0ddb95cd7093eb945eba7b7c1c3733da99e2c9c45cc8212ac2d7628
Nick Pivetta
polymarket · 0x0db7671f82d5b93a3c4547fabe9c81dabf9eeaf42a633d3e9dc3e9f069a69173
Gavin Williams
polymarket · 0x980c94d236d4bfaf00d976a960b6834a21975a797c40206e7e4577e4f89997b1
Emerson Hancock
polymarket · 0x85f3ffe2b85c7a01c851ad46b1e7a985469cf23e0ca051540391c9b4e146b065
Jeffrey Springs
polymarket · 0xe2ea6c481a72694efec5b555904d0645a3260864afa8ce470449170be6bd42ae
Max Fried
polymarket · 0x5f981c0934f66237da817c48039df2f4ed66617589a134f475ae17ddaf0c4685
Carlos Rodón
polymarket · 0x578b27219eec1d48b7337edde4475ab81a3ff7213e5ba9347d51b6cc3aaf8dbb
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.