Charles Leclerc · KXF1RACE-MONGP26
Charles Leclerc is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXF1RACE-MONGP26.
Price history
31¢ current
+29¢Contract brief
If Charles Leclerc finishes in exactly first in the main race originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Charles Leclerc
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Charles Leclerc 31¢
Range
1¢-31¢
Family volume
$53K
Identifier
KXF1RACE-MONGP26-LEC
May 27, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
31¢
Ask
32¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$7K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXF1RACE-MONGP26
Closes
Jun 21, 2026
Family volume
$53K
Orderbook snapshot
31 / 32¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Charles Leclerc finishes in exactly first in the main race originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 21, 2026
Identifier
KXF1RACE-MONGP26-LEC
Event family
KXF1RACE-MONGP26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$53K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Charles Leclerc 31¢
Current share
13%
Charles Leclerc
kalshi · KXF1RACE-MONGP26-LEC
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
kalshi · KXF1RACE-MONGP26-ANT
Lewis Hamilton
kalshi · KXF1RACE-MONGP26-HAM
George Russell
kalshi · KXF1RACE-MONGP26-RUS
Lando Norris
kalshi · KXF1RACE-MONGP26-NOR
Max Verstappen
kalshi · KXF1RACE-MONGP26-VER
Oscar Piastri
kalshi · KXF1RACE-MONGP26-PIA
Isack Hadjar
kalshi · KXF1RACE-MONGP26-HAD
Alexander Albon
kalshi · KXF1RACE-MONGP26-ALB
Fernando Alonso
kalshi · KXF1RACE-MONGP26-ALO
Oliver Bearman
kalshi · KXF1RACE-MONGP26-BEA
Gabriel Bortoleto
kalshi · KXF1RACE-MONGP26-BOR
Valtteri Bottas
kalshi · KXF1RACE-MONGP26-BOT
Franco Colapinto
kalshi · KXF1RACE-MONGP26-COL
Pierre Gasly
kalshi · KXF1RACE-MONGP26-GAS
Nico Hulkenberg
kalshi · KXF1RACE-MONGP26-HUL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 31% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.