Charles Booker · SENATELA-26
Charles Booker is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside SENATELA-26.
Price history
5¢ current
Contract brief
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Kentucky for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Charles Booker
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Andy Barr 90¢
Range
8¢-90¢
Family volume
$134
Identifier
SENATELA-26-D
May 29, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$134
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · SENATELA-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$134
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Kentucky for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
SENATELA-26-D
Event family
SENATELA-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$134
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Andy Barr 90¢
Current share
100%
Andy Barr
kalshi · SENATELA-26-R
Charles Booker
kalshi · SENATELA-26-D
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.