Sherrod Brown · SENATEOHS-26
Sherrod Brown is priced at 54¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside SENATEOHS-26.
Price history
54¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Ohio for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Sherrod Brown
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Sherrod Brown 53¢
Range
45¢-53¢
Family volume
$6K
Identifier
SENATEOHS-26-D
May 29, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
53¢
Ask
54¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · SENATEOHS-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$6K
Orderbook snapshot
53 / 54¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Ohio for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
SENATEOHS-26-D
Event family
SENATEOHS-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Sherrod Brown 53¢
Current share
42%
Sherrod Brown
kalshi · SENATEOHS-26-D
Jon Husted
kalshi · SENATEOHS-26-R
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
low
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.