Denny Hamlin · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26
Denny Hamlin is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26.
Price history
20¢ current
+15¢Contract brief
If Denny Hamlin finishes in first in the Main Event at the 2026 Cracker Barrel 400, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Denny Hamlin
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Denny Hamlin 19¢
Range
1¢-19¢
Family volume
$41K
Identifier
KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-DEHA
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
19¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26
Closes
Jun 15, 2026
Family volume
$41K
Orderbook snapshot
19 / 20¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Denny Hamlin finishes in first in the Main Event at the 2026 Cracker Barrel 400, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 15, 2026
Identifier
KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-DEHA
Event family
KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$41K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Denny Hamlin 19¢
Current share
3%
Denny Hamlin
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-DEHA
Christopher Bell
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-CHBE
Ryan Blaney
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-RYBL
Tyler Reddick
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-TYRE
Kyle Larson
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-KYLA
Chase Briscoe
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-CHBR
Chase Elliott
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-CHEL
Carson Hocevar
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-CAHO
Ross Chastain
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-ROCH
Joey Logano
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-JOLO
Bubba Wallace
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-BUWA
Daniel Suárez
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-DASU
Erik Jones
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-ERJO
Zane Smith
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-ZASM
Austin Cindric
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-AUCI
AJ Allmendinger
kalshi · KXNASCARRACE-CRAB26-AJAL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.