Dinner Party have at least 140,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Dinner Party
At least 140,000 is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 99¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Will Dinner Party have at least.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If Dinner Party by Niall Horan has at least 140,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Dinner Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 140,000
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
At least 30,000 91¢
Range
1¢-91¢
Family volume
$100
Identifier
KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-140000
Jun 8, 2026, 1:02 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
99¢
24h volume
$10
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Dinner Party have at least
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Family volume
$100
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Dinner Party by Niall Horan has at least 140,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Dinner Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Identifier
KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-140000
Event family
Will Dinner Party have at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$100
Outcomes
16
Highest price
At least 30,000 91¢
Current share
10%
At least 30,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-30000
At least 40,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-40000
At least 20,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-20000
At least 60,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-60000
At least 140,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-140000
At least 100,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-100000
At least 110,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-110000
At least 130,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-130000
At least 150,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-150000
At least 160,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-160000
At least 170,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-170000
At least 180,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-180000
At least 190,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-190000
At least 200,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-200000
At least 10,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-10000
At least 50,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-ACT-50000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
financial
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.