Dinner Party have at least 20,000 Pure Album Sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Dinner Party
At least 20,000 albums is priced at 83¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 63¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 21¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 12 inside Will Dinner Party have at least.
Price history
83¢ current
+24¢Contract brief
If Dinner Party by Niall Horan has at least 20,000 Pure Album Sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Dinner Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 20,000 albums
Rank
#2 of 12
Leader
At least 10,000 albums 76¢
Range
1¢-76¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXALBUMSALES-DIN-PURE-20000
Jun 5, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
63¢
Ask
84¢
Spread
21¢
Reported volume
$17
Family rank
#2 of 12
12 outcomes · Will Dinner Party have at least
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
63 / 84¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Dinner Party by Niall Horan has at least 20,000 Pure Album Sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Dinner Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Identifier
KXALBUMSALES-DIN-PURE-20000
Event family
Will Dinner Party have at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
12
Highest price
At least 10,000 albums 76¢
Current share
—
At least 10,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-PURE-10000
At least 20,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-PURE-20000
At least 30,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-PURE-30000
At least 40,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-PURE-40000
At least 50,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-PURE-50000
At least 60,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-PURE-60000
At least 70,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-PURE-70000
At least 80,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-PURE-80000
At least 100,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-PURE-100000
At least 110,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-PURE-110000
At least 140,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-PURE-140000
At least 90,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-DIN-PURE-90000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.