SimpleFunctions

DIRTY BLONDE by Bebe Rexha have above 9000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the June 12, 2026 - June 18, 2026 tracking week

Above 9K is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 54¢ bid, 64¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 10 inside Will DIRTY BLONDE by Bebe Rexha have above.

Price history

58¢ current

+56¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 28, 2026Jun 3, 2026

Contract brief

If DIRTY BLONDE by Bebe Rexha has above 9K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the June 12, 2026 - June 18, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 9K

Rank

#3 of 10

Leader

Above 3K 83¢

Range

1¢-83¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-DIR26JUN18B-9K

Jun 6, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

58¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 6, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

54¢

Ask

64¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$372

Family rank

#3 of 10

10 outcomes · Will DIRTY BLONDE by Bebe Rexha have above

Closes

Jun 21, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

54 / 64¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
54¢5
53¢66
14¢100
3¢2.0K
AskSize
64¢66
88¢73
99¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If DIRTY BLONDE by Bebe Rexha has above 9K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the June 12, 2026 - June 18, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 21, 2026

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-DIR26JUN18B-9K

SF Signal
SF Index
1180.59
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2102.8%

IY (No)

2897.9%

Adj IY

1181%

CRI

1

Overround

2.2%

LAS

0.19

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2102.8%
2897.9%
Adj IY
1181%
1
Overround
2.2%
LAS
0.19

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Opinionanalysis

Volatility Arbitrage in Prediction Markets: Why Political Favorites Above 60¢ Are Systematically Underconfident

A binary contract at price p has variance p(1-p). Le 2026 (292M trades) finds political markets underconfident at slopes 0.93-1.83 — meaning a 70¢ contract corresponds to a true probability near 83%. Four systematic vol-arb trades follow from the calibration evidence.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.