Drake · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01
Drake is priced at 64¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 59¢ bid, 73¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01.
Price history
64¢ current
+59¢Contract brief
If Drake is #1 on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Drake
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Olivia Rodrigo 94¢
Range
1¢-94¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-DRA
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
59¢
Ask
73¢
Spread
14¢
24h volume
$953
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
59 / 73¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Drake is #1 on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-DRA
Event family
KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Olivia Rodrigo 94¢
Current share
22%
Olivia Rodrigo
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-OLII
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-ARI
Drake
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-DRA
Ella Langley
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-ELL
Malcolm Todd
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-MAL
Noah Kahan
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-NOA
Michael Jackson
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-MIC
Chappell Roan
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-CHAP
Bruno Mars
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-BRU
Morgan Wallen
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-MOR
The Weeknd
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-WEE
RAYE
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-RAY
Megan Moroney
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-MEG
Baby Keem
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-BAB
Joji
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-JOJ
Alex Warren
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUL01-ALE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 64% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.