Elon Musk’s net worth less than $610b on May 31
<610b is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 10 inside Elon Musk Net Worth on May 31?.
Price history
0¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Outcome
<610b
Rank
#4 of 10
Leader
690b+ 94¢
Range
0¢-94¢
Family volume
$31K
Identifier
0x48a67c62...187c
May 28, 2026, 8:09 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$694
Family rank
#4 of 10
10 outcomes · Elon Musk Net Worth on May 31?
Closes
May 31, 2026
Family volume
$31K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
0x48a67c62…187c
Event family
Elon Musk Net Worth on May 31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$31K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
690b+ 94¢
Current share
15%
690b+
polymarket · 0x62d15abd1060e2059eb15d7f15b03d0e86a6386c65ad82532e0dd3562f057e93
680-690b
polymarket · 0xaf1b0fc6128f9a36d6315d37907c9c3884ff0780b1f34abe38010e223c31d9ae
670-680b
polymarket · 0xf21d2e1f6f449178c45aa154f1d199c8a11eecfa83cf94481e17bd3a64166901
<610b
polymarket · 0x48a67c626ee2b60384e35e4122626569d7cd1827237c1eb5f240e5ccb157187c
640-650b
polymarket · 0xe824da460a6a3e96fd31aa3bd9b83128168e9addbdc51f09a5693b2f1eb37a06
650-660b
polymarket · 0x28692f33e19d6334aad9a47cce8ede3fce7ca844aeb73df613e0fb48aeb081bb
620-630b
polymarket · 0x8cf98d880f2acf6f4715d0773fa3c15ba144f5bdb84a56ba7c6f34d522a07ea7
630-640b
polymarket · 0x9aa1adec713b2635822375456a73d0459b2a9dd99c28f78eaf8b38a7558876ce
660-670b
polymarket · 0x991851e5ea9d24731849ec3cb0283d126b912eb12ba555f6f950c9a69cfc022e
610-620b
polymarket · 0x736af5424e5ea7c1e85e54b213a612cc1d4c7957341839c3bdf68ce69ef6ff7c
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 0% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.