SimpleFunctions

↓ 600 · What price will Ethereum hit in May

↓ 600 is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside What price will Ethereum hit in May?.

Open on PolymarketView JSONEnter terminal

Price history

0¢ current

0¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Outcome

↓ 600

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

↓ 1,800 2¢

Range

0¢-2¢

Family volume

$6.9M

Identifier

0x43167cd0...b640

May 28, 2026, 7:21 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

0¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 7:21 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

0¢

Ask

0¢

Spread

0¢

24h volume

$13

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · What price will Ethereum hit in May?

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Family volume

$6.9M

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 0¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
0¢16
0¢7.8K
2¢3.0K
100¢156
100¢100
100¢1.0K
100¢28K
100¢6.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

0x43167cd0…b640

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

What price will Ethereum hit in May.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$6.9M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

↓ 1,800 2¢

Current share

1%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

↓ 1,800

polymarket · 0x9ff2629945e6172d14c3d29cf573345544a13eceabd5d857a4caee7b8ba5c37d

2¢
$892K$111K0.0

↓ 1,600

polymarket · 0x0c19f6e2af9a203184d0f65319733db19f0ae7da8cd07cde99b1493d64e62a76

1¢
$398K$22K—

↑ 2,600

polymarket · 0x523c642a2da7b7fcf4ecb1da444d805c790fe16497fa83ba6f99046ec7343ade

0¢
$1.1M$81K—

↑ 5,000

polymarket · 0x53747b506af84bc4212fc7b8a519340d91389f1ac12f0ff10605e8e96b5848c6

0¢
$809K$25K—

↓ 400

polymarket · 0xd200fadb91872f9e7e4a68a466f8581e8dbbe06c97b7e1c45d67e3f4441c6b8d

0¢
$644K$323—

↑ 3,000

polymarket · 0xf61c22712328d3422718545c663375cdca9310425fa67dabac2757bf53a11eec

0¢
$523K$24K—

↑ 2,800

polymarket · 0x5a8963c510d3f2a1cb669882cccc5f521fd3ed1c75e0af56ace20346170ddb1f

0¢
$520K$36K—

↓ 1,400

polymarket · 0x279959fccabce22a6047966154943f3b6e42978f7740f32264ae2fdf963e11f8

0¢
$351K$61K—

↑ 3,400

polymarket · 0x3f94e17ef610aa742194321016c5c5bb981d94ed82c1a9c055421990dacb3b47

0¢
$276K$5K—

↑ 3,600

polymarket · 0xef7b6ed51d62f5f98cd038ecd666ee37b5741a5d763062987a5761b2c9b167c3

0¢
$259K$9—

↑ 3,200

polymarket · 0x259742b3270e227ebe23c5f238f21a13e4b17897acd34a19ebfca9ac8127c2e9

0¢
$257K$10K—

↑ 3,800

polymarket · 0x74ccabbcba177318cee64bc19f602c2295175a320a4a950a18299a11262b98e6

0¢
$252K$27K—

↑ 4,000

polymarket · 0xcd0afb4efe75c092267c0472cebfe8738dd8488ab77a6bbab4dd2aa9f35d859d

0¢
$249K$0—

↓ 1,200

polymarket · 0x1b1c6d6f7d3d5aec6b8908591a251f07eaf68d6b9c66bf3d13078a28b769b34e

0¢
$194K$18K—

↓ 1,000

polymarket · 0xe106abbf8f088ecff1316d47ba8a9c3f3d31b6ec88cb84fb695651f469bf2a4a

0¢
$142K$6—

↓ 600

polymarket · 0x43167cd0f184409fa2a41e5fa5048a204ff76f80f186842ededffbfac253b640

0¢
$88K$13—

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

Prediction Market Index

Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.

Market Screener

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Event Probability API

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.