SimpleFunctions

ex-RUBY · KXCS2GAME-26JUN081300EXRACE

ex-RUBY is priced at 54¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXCS2GAME-26JUN081300EXRACE.

Price history

54¢ current

2¢
50¢60¢
Jun 6, 2026Jun 7, 2026

Contract brief

If ex-RUBY wins the NODWIN Clutch Series 2026: ex-RUBY vs. Acend CS2 match originally scheduled for Jun 8, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

ex-RUBY

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

ex-RUBY 53¢

Range

45¢-53¢

Family volume

$24

Identifier

KXCS2GAME-26JUN081300EXRACE-EXR

Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

54¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

53¢

Ask

54¢

Spread

24h volume

$7

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXCS2GAME-26JUN081300EXRACE

Closes

Jun 22, 2026

Family volume

$24

Orderbook snapshot

53 / 54¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
53¢87
51¢12
50¢36
49¢7
3¢100
AskSize
54¢121
55¢212
56¢24
57¢200
71¢898

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If ex-RUBY wins the NODWIN Clutch Series 2026: ex-RUBY vs. Acend CS2 match originally scheduled for Jun 8, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 22, 2026

Identifier

KXCS2GAME-26JUN081300EXRACE-EXR

SF Signal
SF Index
1186.98
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXCS2GAME-26JUN081300EXRACE.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$24

Outcomes

2

Highest price

ex-RUBY 53¢

Current share

29%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2061.3%
2621.1%
Adj IY
1187%
1
LAS
0.09

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.