Above 500M · Will FISHER have
Above 500M is priced at 91¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 90¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside Will FISHER have.
Price history
91¢ current
+89¢Contract brief
If FISHER has Above 500M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 500M
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Above 275M 99¢
Range
36¢-99¢
Family volume
$38
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-500.0M
May 24, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
90¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$6K
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · Will FISHER have
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Family volume
$38
Orderbook snapshot
90 / 91¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If FISHER has Above 500M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-500.0M
Event family
Will FISHER have.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$38
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 275M 99¢
Current share
0%
Above 275M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-275.0M
Above 225M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-225.0M
Above 250M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-250.0M
Above 300M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-300.0M
Above 325M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-325.0M
Above 350M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-350.0M
Above 375M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-375.0M
Above 400M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-400.0M
Above 425M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-425.0M
Above 450M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-450.0M
Above 475M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-475.0M
Above 500M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-500.0M
Above 525M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-525.0M
Above 550M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-550.0M
Above 600M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-600.0M
Above 625M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-FISHER26DEC31-625.0M
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.