SimpleFunctions

Florida State · KXNCAABBREG-26TALL

Florida State is priced at 60¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 59¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXNCAABBREG-26TALL.

Price history

60¢ current

+15¢
50¢60¢
May 26, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Florida State is the 2026 College Baseball Tallahassee Regional champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Florida State

Rank

#1 of 4

Leader

Florida State 59¢

Range

4¢-59¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXNCAABBREG-26TALL-FLS

May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

60¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

59¢

Ask

60¢

Spread

24h volume

$583

Family rank

#1 of 4

4 outcomes · KXNCAABBREG-26TALL

Closes

Jun 16, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

59 / 60¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
59¢3.2K
58¢1.3K
57¢1.1K
49¢384
48¢449
AskSize
60¢570
63¢981
64¢200
68¢282
69¢680

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Florida State is the 2026 College Baseball Tallahassee Regional champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 16, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAABBREG-26TALL-FLS

SF Signal
SF Index
2885.48
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNCAABBREG-26TALL.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Florida State 59¢

Current share

25%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1393.4%

IY (No)

2885.5%

Adj IY

2885%

CRI

1

RV

189%

VR

0.48

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1393.4%
2885.5%
Adj IY
2885%
1
RV
189%
VR
0.48
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.