SimpleFunctions

Indiana Pacers · NBA: Giannis Antetokounmpo Next Team

Indiana Pacers is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #16 of 16 inside NBA: Giannis Antetokounmpo Next Team.

Price history

1¢ current

49¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 28, 2026May 17, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to the next team Giannis Antetokounmpo officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Giannis Antetokounmpo does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Milwaukee Bucks”. If Giannis Antetokounmpo joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Giannis Antetokounmpo retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Milwaukee Bucks and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Outcome

Indiana Pacers

Rank

#16 of 16

Leader

Miami Heat 35¢

Range

1¢-35¢

Family volume

$7K

Identifier

0x3ddbc823...9fea

May 28, 2026, 9:49 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 9:49 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$282

Family rank

#16 of 16

16 outcomes · NBA: Giannis Antetokounmpo Next Team

Closes

Nov 3, 2026

Family volume

$7K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 2¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
0¢100
AskSize
2¢26
2¢11
3¢98
79¢275
79¢15
79¢30
80¢800
95¢40

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to the next team Giannis Antetokounmpo officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Giannis Antetokounmpo does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Milwaukee Bucks”. If Giannis Antetokounmpo joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Giannis Antetokounmpo retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Milwaukee Bucks and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Nov 3, 2026

Identifier

0x3ddbc823…9fea

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at .

View counterpart

Event family

NBA: Giannis Antetokounmpo Next Team.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$7K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Miami Heat 35¢

Current share

4%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Miami Heat

polymarket · 0x6975562ee20339b873df943986e6b150e84b767e026f7a85c1a28b91a37dfbf0

35¢
$518$0

New York Knicks

polymarket · 0xaec41a965b775da9b4e05d174da6295a5912d43e2613bec436438ece2eab891a

19¢
$493$25

Milwaukee Bucks

polymarket · 0x99466654a1ef041f6d6b28be01f86d0346e3bbc050b18d57be622b49216bb4d6

14¢
$717$0

Atlanta Hawks

polymarket · 0xff2715084bb2cf20d9b88b74ef809c3317b1e99f6c006faee9b83bc85aa0fc99

12¢
$317$0

Oklahoma City Thunder

polymarket · 0x9904d53ea72f415896089ccd5e4ab88c5e4229ef0441e3ae3f7284ec6e290a80

11¢
$268$0

Golden State Warriors

polymarket · 0xe9f3987539325f978afdf41dfe5285c7b2a8eac2e19b73795efae2da28a52186

10¢
$2K$0

Portland Trail Blazers

polymarket · 0x9325f47860cc92db60a4d334ea59e8e52eff5edf2b763167111298c15870831a

9¢
$473$0

Boston Celtics

polymarket · 0x79abf81ba6ed8a3f7180153da64c9d9b8cdee242d38ea19f6588651c850f442c

9¢
$422$0

Denver Nuggets

polymarket · 0xaf2ded39ea03cc499cbad037297726fcc77ab29ce057b2109b310c9d2d555fb7

6¢
$403$0

Toronto Raptors

polymarket · 0x1a2887f858b0e30cb8ba8f4123212d6f14bfe824ab7cb19a75fff32ffbebad3c

5¢
$427$0

Cleveland Cavaliers

polymarket · 0xfb42549f5a104c986564104766d82cbaabe8e01947f96840dc18f4cce4f39a28

5¢
$305$1

Houston Rockets

polymarket · 0xdce7a792233a4d5704fa09624e6a3639bd9c57e7efb258a3eaba891997bd12a1

4¢
$357$0

San Antonio Spurs

polymarket · 0x251f9ce3ec80cd7b783d4e93f8413febe8340bcff2534e820dd4a8c1888f0c10

2¢
$373$3

Minnesota Timberwolves

polymarket · 0x4400911b0962fe95149229b0765aefdb174340b4907aebc4bc4d5b2a674a820b

2¢
$318$0

Los Angeles Lakers

polymarket · 0x10658d98944fd82cad332b842ec14aa93088d6ecb9dea256e889daba440121b8

2¢
$300$0

Indiana Pacers

polymarket · 0x3ddbc8233fc34500e004979877309f23d7c3ca3223e11e63624151aeccb59fea

1¢
$282$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Conceptmethodology

New Market Price Formation: The First 24 Hours of a Listed Contract

When a binary contract first lists, the price moves through four phases: maker seeding, discovery flow, tentative consensus, stable pricing. Trading rules and the maker opportunity in phases 1 and 2.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.